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21 Dec 2024 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.6%
Getafe
32.4%
Draw
23.0%
Mallorca

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Getafe

vs
0.72

Mallorca

Markets

BTTS35.1%
Over 0.583.7%
Over 1.555.4%
Over 2.528.1%
Over 3.511.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
17.3%
0-0
16.3%
1-1
13.2%
0-1
11.0%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
2-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).