Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.5%
Sassuolo
18.2%
Draw
10.3%
Carrarese
Expected Goals (xG)
2.42
Sassuolo
vs
0.84
Carrarese
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.541.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.1%
1-1
8.6%
1-0
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
5.5%
0-0
4.6%
4-1
4.6%
2-2
4.0%
1-2
3.3%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).