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13 Sept 2025 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.1%
Clermont
22.4%
Draw
53.4%
St Etienne

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Clermont

vs
1.67

St Etienne

Markets

BTTS51.1%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.2%
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.9%
0-0
5.8%
1-3
5.4%
0-3
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).