Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.1%
York
11.7%
Draw
6.3%
Eastleigh
Expected Goals (xG)
3.22
York
vs
0.87
Eastleigh
Markets
BTTS56.3%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.591.9%
Over 2.577.5%
Over 3.558.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
4-0
7.5%
4-1
6.5%
1-1
5.1%
1-0
5.0%
5-0
4.8%
5-1
4.2%
3-2
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).