Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.7%
Manchester City
25.6%
Draw
19.7%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Manchester City
vs
0.77
Fulham
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.0%
2-0
11.6%
1-1
11.6%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.4%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).