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DHT: 01

28 Sept 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.0%
Worksop Town
16.4%
Draw
51.6%
King's Lynn Town

Expected Goals (xG)

2.58

Worksop Town

vs
3.19

King's Lynn Town

Markets

BTTS88.6%
Over 0.599.8%
Over 1.597.8%
Over 2.592.7%
Over 3.582.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-3
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
4.8%
3-2
4.5%
2-4
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
3-4
3.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-1
3.3%
4-3
3.1%
4-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).