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AHT: 01CSV

05 Feb 2021 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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4.3%
Hertha
8.6%
Draw
87.1%
Bayern Munich

Expected Goals (xG)

0.86

Hertha

vs
3.71

Bayern Munich

Markets

BTTS56.4%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.594.4%
Over 2.583.4%
Over 3.566.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-3
8.8%
0-4
8.2%
1-3
7.6%
0-2
7.1%
1-4
7.0%
1-2
6.1%
0-5
6.1%
1-5
5.2%
0-1
3.6%
1-1
3.5%
2-3
3.3%
2-4
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).