Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.7%
Alloa
22.7%
Draw
19.6%
Dumbarton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Alloa
vs
1.09
Dumbarton
Markets
BTTS58.2%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.537.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
1-0
8.4%
3-1
6.6%
3-0
6.0%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
5.4%
0-0
5.2%
0-1
4.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).