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DHT: 10CSV

17 Mar 2018

Troyes

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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59.4%
Amiens
22.7%
Draw
17.9%
Troyes

Expected Goals (xG)

1.75

Amiens

vs
0.84

Troyes

Markets

BTTS46.6%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.4%
2-0
11.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.2%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).