Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.3%
Braintree Town
30.5%
Draw
28.2%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Braintree Town
vs
1.00
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
11.4%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).