Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.5%
Notts County
12.9%
Draw
5.7%
Maidenhead
Expected Goals (xG)
2.87
Notts County
vs
0.68
Maidenhead
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.587.4%
Over 2.568.8%
Over 3.547.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
1-0
7.8%
3-1
7.7%
1-1
6.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-0
4.6%
0-0
3.4%
5-1
3.2%
2-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).