Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.1%
Braintree Town
30.6%
Draw
30.3%
Gateshead
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Braintree Town
vs
1.05
Gateshead
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
11.4%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).