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17 Aug 2025 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.6%
Genclerbirligi
35.5%
Draw
18.9%
Antalyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

Genclerbirligi

vs
0.76

Antalyaspor

Markets

BTTS41.4%
Over 0.583.7%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.533.2%
Over 3.514.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.3%
1-1
15.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
3.7%
3-1
3.4%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).