Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.6%
Reggiana
28.2%
Draw
33.2%
FeralpiSalo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Reggiana
vs
1.29
FeralpiSalo
Markets
BTTS56.0%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
1-0
8.3%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.5%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).