Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.8%
Leverkusen
24.5%
Draw
28.7%
Stuttgart
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Leverkusen
vs
1.36
Stuttgart
Markets
BTTS62.7%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
1-0
7.0%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.1%
0-0
5.0%
3-0
4.1%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).