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DHT: 01CSV

06 Feb 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.0%
Forfar
42.9%
Draw
12.1%
Stranraer

Expected Goals (xG)

0.80

Forfar

vs
0.29

Stranraer

Markets

BTTS14.4%
Over 0.565.9%
Over 1.530.3%
Over 2.59.8%
Over 3.52.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
34.1%
1-0
26.4%
2-0
10.8%
0-1
9.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-0
2.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-2
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-0
0.6%
2-2
0.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).