Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.6%
Trabzonspor
19.3%
Draw
9.1%
Kayserispor
Expected Goals (xG)
2.57
Trabzonspor
vs
0.90
Kayserispor
Markets
BTTS56.4%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.587.8%
Over 2.567.2%
Over 3.545.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
9.0%
3-0
8.8%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
6.2%
4-0
5.7%
4-1
5.1%
0-0
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-2
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).