Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.0%
Coventry
27.0%
Draw
20.0%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Coventry
vs
0.89
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.2%
0-1
6.4%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).