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AHT: 20CSV

07 Oct 2023 · 17:30

Barnet

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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9.5%
Dorking
17.3%
Draw
73.2%
Barnet

Expected Goals (xG)

0.79

Dorking

vs
2.46

Barnet

Markets

BTTS50.7%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.540.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.7%
0-3
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
8.9%
1-1
8.2%
1-3
7.6%
0-4
5.9%
1-4
4.7%
0-0
4.5%
2-2
3.7%
2-3
3.0%
2-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).