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20 Aug 2024 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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89.3%
Halesowen Town
7.4%
Draw
3.3%
Queens Park Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

3.45

Halesowen Town

vs
0.59

Queens Park Rangers

Markets

BTTS42.8%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.591.0%
Over 2.576.7%
Over 3.557.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
12.1%
2-0
10.5%
4-0
10.4%
5-0
7.2%
3-1
7.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-1
4.2%
1-1
3.5%
3-2
2.1%
2-2
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).