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DHT: 32CSV

04 Oct 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.8%
Luton
28.1%
Draw
26.1%
Huddersfield

Expected Goals (xG)

1.46

Luton

vs
1.04

Huddersfield

Markets

BTTS50.7%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
9.1%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
4.4%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).