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17 Sept 2023 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.5%
Hertha
24.9%
Draw
16.6%
Braunschweig

Expected Goals (xG)

1.80

Hertha

vs
0.86

Braunschweig

Markets

BTTS49.3%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
8.0%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.0%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.0%
4-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).