Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.5%
Amiens
25.6%
Draw
35.9%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Amiens
vs
1.17
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.2%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.7%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).