Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.3%
Almeria
21.7%
Draw
21.1%
Sabadell
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Almeria
vs
1.09
Sabadell
Markets
BTTS56.9%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.536.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
0-1
5.3%
0-0
4.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).