Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.3%
Blackpool
22.4%
Draw
35.2%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Blackpool
vs
1.41
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS59.0%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
0-0
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).