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HHT: 20CSV

19 Jan 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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75.4%
PAOK
17.4%
Draw
7.2%
Panionios

Expected Goals (xG)

2.31

PAOK

vs
0.60

Panionios

Markets

BTTS41.2%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.6%
1-0
11.9%
3-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-0
6.5%
0-0
6.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-0
3.0%
2-2
2.6%
0-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).