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AHT: 22CSV

28 Sept 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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4.6%
RWD Molenbeek
13.4%
Draw
82.0%
St. Gilloise

Expected Goals (xG)

0.48

RWD Molenbeek

vs
2.57

St. Gilloise

Markets

BTTS35.6%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.536.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
15.6%
0-3
13.4%
0-1
11.8%
0-4
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
1-3
6.4%
1-1
6.2%
0-0
5.1%
0-5
4.4%
1-4
4.1%
1-5
2.1%
1-0
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).