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13 Feb 2024 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.6%
West Brom
29.1%
Draw
25.3%
Cardiff

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

West Brom

vs
0.99

Cardiff

Markets

BTTS48.4%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.522.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
10.2%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).