Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.7%
Valenciennes
27.3%
Draw
49.1%
Red Star
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Valenciennes
vs
1.26
Red Star
Markets
BTTS37.4%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.559.1%
Over 2.533.1%
Over 3.514.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.6%
0-0
12.1%
1-1
11.7%
1-0
11.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
4.9%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
0-4
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).