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15 Mar 2022 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.8%
Dijon
35.6%
Draw
39.7%
Le Havre

Expected Goals (xG)

0.59

Dijon

vs
0.84

Le Havre

Markets

BTTS24.2%
Over 0.576.8%
Over 1.540.6%
Over 2.517.2%
Over 3.55.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
23.2%
0-1
21.1%
1-0
15.1%
1-1
10.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-0
4.1%
2-1
3.5%
0-3
2.3%
2-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
3-0
0.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).