Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.0%
Porto
24.5%
Draw
12.5%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Porto
vs
0.50
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS30.5%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.559.7%
Over 2.533.1%
Over 3.514.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.5%
2-0
15.3%
0-0
12.7%
1-1
9.7%
3-0
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
0-1
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-0
3.0%
1-2
2.5%
2-2
1.9%
0-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).