Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.7%
Paris SG
10.5%
Draw
7.8%
St Etienne
Expected Goals (xG)
3.35
Paris SG
vs
1.01
St Etienne
Markets
BTTS61.1%
Over 0.599.0%
Over 1.592.9%
Over 2.580.9%
Over 3.563.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
8.1%
3-0
8.0%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
4-1
6.8%
4-0
6.7%
1-0
4.5%
5-1
4.5%
5-0
4.5%
1-1
4.1%
3-2
4.1%
2-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).