Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.2%
Milton Keynes Dons
26.8%
Draw
35.0%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
1.07
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
0-1
12.9%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).