Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.5%
Paderborn
26.0%
Draw
25.5%
Nurnberg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Paderborn
vs
1.19
Nurnberg
Markets
BTTS58.2%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.7%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.4%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).