Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.7%
Fulham
24.6%
Draw
25.8%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Fulham
vs
1.28
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS61.5%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.537.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.5%
1-0
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
0-0
5.3%
0-1
4.8%
3-0
4.6%
3-2
3.7%
0-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).