Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.2%
Fuenlabrada
23.4%
Draw
22.4%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Fuenlabrada
vs
1.03
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
0-1
6.5%
0-0
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).