Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.6%
Boulogne
22.6%
Draw
50.8%
St Etienne
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Boulogne
vs
1.64
St Etienne
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.5%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
6.4%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
5.2%
0-3
4.7%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).