Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.4%
Eibar
27.0%
Draw
34.7%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Eibar
vs
1.19
Santander
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
10.3%
0-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).