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AHT: 02CSV

07 Feb 2025 · 19:00

Troyes

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.3%
Martigues
24.8%
Draw
53.0%
Troyes

Expected Goals (xG)

0.82

Martigues

vs
1.45

Troyes

Markets

BTTS41.9%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.0%
1-1
11.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-0
9.5%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
0-3
5.2%
2-1
5.0%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
2-0
3.5%
0-4
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).