Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.9%
Valencia
24.2%
Draw
24.9%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Valencia
vs
1.14
Almeria
Markets
BTTS56.3%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-0
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
0-1
6.2%
0-0
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-0
4.9%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).