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AHT: 01CSV

27 Feb 2024 · 19:45

Oldham

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.9%
Eastleigh
28.4%
Draw
43.7%
Oldham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Eastleigh

vs
1.44

Oldham

Markets

BTTS51.9%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
9.0%
0-2
8.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.9%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).