Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.4%
Wrexham
27.1%
Draw
22.6%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Wrexham
vs
0.74
Charlton
Markets
BTTS36.6%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.558.7%
Over 2.532.7%
Over 3.514.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.1%
0-0
12.3%
1-1
11.5%
0-1
10.9%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
8.0%
3-0
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
0-2
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).