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DHT: 31CSV

15 Feb 2020 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.9%
Amiens
24.3%
Draw
50.8%
Paris SG

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Amiens

vs
1.53

Paris SG

Markets

BTTS48.4%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.1%
1-1
11.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
8.6%
0-0
7.4%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).