Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.9%
Wigan
33.7%
Draw
33.5%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Wigan
vs
0.98
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.584.6%
Over 1.559.0%
Over 2.530.8%
Over 3.513.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.4%
1-1
14.7%
0-1
12.9%
1-0
12.7%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
3.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
3-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).