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AHT: 00CSV

18 Mar 2022 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.1%
Bochum
27.2%
Draw
44.8%
M'gladbach

Expected Goals (xG)

1.17

Bochum

vs
1.53

M'gladbach

Markets

BTTS54.9%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
7.9%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
7.0%
1-0
7.0%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
4.0%
2-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).