Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.2%
Freiburg
29.5%
Draw
29.3%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Freiburg
vs
1.07
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
10.2%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).