Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →3.9%
Karagumruk
13.6%
Draw
82.5%
Galatasaray
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62
Karagumruk
vs
2.93
Galatasaray
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.588.3%
Over 2.569.0%
Over 3.547.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.3%
0-3
12.0%
0-4
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
1-3
7.5%
0-1
7.1%
1-1
6.5%
1-4
5.5%
0-5
5.2%
0-0
4.2%
1-5
3.2%
2-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).