Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.4%
Wigan
26.6%
Draw
20.9%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Wigan
vs
0.70
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS36.0%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.559.0%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.5%
0-0
12.2%
2-0
11.5%
1-1
11.3%
0-1
10.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
0-2
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).