Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.3%
Falkirk
22.6%
Draw
16.1%
Ayr
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
Falkirk
vs
1.07
Ayr
Markets
BTTS59.6%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.540.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.2%
1-0
7.0%
3-0
6.7%
0-0
5.3%
2-2
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
4-1
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).