Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.1%
Ascoli
33.9%
Draw
21.9%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Ascoli
vs
0.72
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS35.8%
Over 0.582.9%
Over 1.556.3%
Over 2.528.1%
Over 3.511.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.1%
1-0
16.6%
1-1
14.0%
2-0
10.1%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
4.6%
0-2
4.0%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
2-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).